TenderlistKnow if a tender is winnable before you bid
A bid costs days of work. Bidding into a market where the incumbent has won every lot for a decade costs those days for nothing. Tenderlist reads every award notice published on TED and turns it into a Market Competitiveness report for the buyer and market behind each tender - so the go/no-go decision takes minutes, not a lost bid to learn from.
Incumbency
The share of awarded lots the top supplier took over the last 36 months. When one company wins 90% of a buyer’s lots, that market is locked - and you deserve to know before writing a bid.
Supplier concentration
How the buyer’s awards spread across suppliers, measured the way competition authorities do it (HHI). Fragmented markets mean real competitions; concentrated ones mean an inside track.
Bidding depth
How many companies typically bid on this buyer’s tenders. Four or more average bidders signals genuinely open competitions; one or two signals a formality.
Incumbent since
Award history reaching back to 2006 via the TED archive. “The same supplier has held this contract since 2011” is a fact we show, not a rumour you hear after losing.
One honest rating per market
Every report is summarised as a contestability rating. High means a fragmented market with deep bidding - awards spread across many suppliers and four or more average bidders. Low means a locked market - one supplier holds 70% or more of the lots, or awards are heavily concentrated. And when a market has too few awards to judge, we say so instead of inventing a rating: thin evidence is marked as exactly that.
Hospital catering, Italy: 90% of lots won by the same supplier over the last 3 years. Bid only if something structural has changed.
Rail maintenance, Sweden: the largest supplier took just 9% of lots over the last 3 years. This is a market newcomers actually win.
Prefer plain language over numbers? Every report comes with an AI interpretation on demand - what the figures mean for an outsider considering a bid, written out in a paragraph you can forward to a colleague.
Where the numbers come from
Ratings are computed from award notices published on TED since 2023, counted at lot level with values normalised to EUR, across more than 100,000 buyer profiles. Historical incumbency context reaches back to 2006 through the TED archive. Supplier identities are resolved before anything is counted - the same company appearing under five spellings, abbreviations, or subsidiaries is merged into one supplier - because concentration numbers built on raw names undercount the incumbent. Every figure links back to the award notices behind it, so you can verify any number yourself.
Want to see this analysis applied at market scale? Read our reports: EU software & IT procurement 2026 and EU construction procurement 2026.
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